Market
Closes in 16d
Closes in 16d
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- 24h volume
- $3,252.14
- Book depth
- $6,614.60
- Implied yes
- 20.0%
- 7d change
- +6.5¢
- Best bid / ask
- 19.0¢ / 21.0¢
- Spread
- 2.0¢
- Min size
- 5
- Tick size
- 1.00¢
Yes price · 7 day
▲ 6.5¢
YES20.0%
20.0¢
▲ 6.5¢ · 7d
NO80.0%
80.0¢
▼ 6.5¢ · 7d
Order book · YESLive
28.0¢22.22$6.22
27.0¢55$14.85
26.0¢222$57.72
25.0¢80$20.00
24.0¢226$54.24
23.0¢253$58.19
22.0¢147.69$32.49
21.0¢60$12.60
mid 20.0¢ · spread 2.0¢
19.0¢16.26$3.09
18.0¢157.26$28.31
17.0¢46$7.82
16.0¢50.3$8.05
15.0¢273.88$41.08
14.0¢342$47.88
13.0¢1038.23$134.97
12.0¢906.35$108.76
Polymarket CLOB · $6,614.60 depthrefresh 4s
Tape24h $3,252.14
NO1.66 @ 78.0¢33m ago
YES9.480453 @ 21.1¢50m ago
NO2.43 @ 79.0¢51m ago
NO2.439022 @ 82.0¢53m ago
YES199.3 @ 20.0¢4h ago
YES5 @ 20.0¢4h ago
NO16 @ 77.0¢5h ago
NO2.85 @ 75.0¢6h ago
NO10 @ 76.0¢6h ago
YES13.04 @ 25.0¢7h ago
Method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
AlphaMarket displays live Polymarket Gamma, CLOB, and Data API market data without synthetic market fallbacks. Orders route through the underlying on-chain exchange when live execution is enabled. Current execution mode: local ledger only; market data remains Polymarket-live.
Top holdersData API
unicirn
0xcd2ca6ed42fec9d3ae0a8eed212ce7727a31a30e
AnonymousElephant69
0xbeb9d19f10274da29f21625a2c91fa5a00fd3870
youngcheese
0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992
The-Joker
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
0xB07471136A57D8e67d5656618416Bb1129ef1e54-1774630256823
0xb07471136a57d8e67d5656618416bb1129ef1e54